Nate Silver undertook an interesting what-if project this week with a story on what would things be like if Hillary Clinton had been elected president. Merrick Garland is on the Supreme Court, and Neil Gorsuch is not. Brian Fallon is the press secretary, and Sean Spicer is not. It is Hillary Clinton under investigation for […]
We would assume that the editors at FiveThirtyEight would want to rethink the use of words in social media headlines and titles. Why? In a Mother’s Day poll, they tweeted the following: Every day, your mom wasted 90 minutes of her life on you, so today get her a present. https://t.co/vJySjeFix0 pic.twitter.com/Z8QQjYRUyt — FiveThirtyEight (@FiveThirtyEight) […]
FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten issued words of caution to the media and general public over the special election run-off between Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Karen Handel. He pointed out that the polling was solid, for once, and that both the early voting and potential impact on 2018 midterms were not very clear (contrary to current […]
Nate Silver, the statistician who correctly predicted the 2012 electoral results, wrote an interesting and insightful piece entitled, “There Really Was a Liberal Media Bubble,” at his website FiveThirtyEight. As the headline suggests, the topic was the liberal media bias in the 2016 election cycle. Silver pointed out, among several, how groupthink affected the media’s […]
The liberal media appears to be all-in on Hillary Clinton winning the White House tonight: The Washington Post’s The Fix said Clinton will win with 275 electoral votes. The New York Times’ Upshot downgraded from 92% chance of a Clinton win to 84% this week. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight gave Clinton a 71% chance of winning, […]
Nate Silver, the man who called the 2012 election for Obama and did so in face of other pollsters denying an overwhelming Obama re-election victory, said the following about the Clinton vs. Trump electoral map, per the liberal media: “Look, you have some forecasts that show Clinton with a 98 or 99 percent chance of […]
The much-lauded Emerson College poll of Utahans, which put independent candidate Evan McMullin ahead of Trump and Clinton, has its own issues regarding reliability. FiveThirtyEight found that among 12 pollsters (ranging from Fox News to Marist), Emerson was one of four pollsters which underperformed. Emerson College received a ‘B’ rating from FiveThirtyEight, as well. Also, […]
According to FiveThirtyEight’s tally of last night’s vice presidential debate, Tim Kaine, the Democratic Virginia U.S. Senator who is Hillary Clinton’s vice president running mate, interrupted Trump’s running mate Mike Pence (current Indiana governor) an estimated 70 times. Pence, on the other hand, only interrupted Kaine a little over 40 times.
NBC News’ online poll conducted with SurveyMonkey claimed to show that Hillary Clinton won the debate, but even FiveThirtyEight (Nate Silver’s outfit) said to be cautious. Silver wrote that Clinton should be up, but pointed out flaws with post-debate polling, such as some polls had a small sample size of respondents post-debate compared to pre-debate.
Quite the conundrum, huh? Why should an entire ethnicity and race be loyal to one candidate? Black Millennials aren’t enthusiastic about Hillary Clinton because of her dishonesty over her e-mails scandal and due to Bill Clinton’s criminalization bill in 1994.
7/21/2017 - State Department Says No One Cares Anymore About Hillary’s Stupid Emails
5/16/2017 - FiveThirtyEight the Focus of Social Media Backlash after Tweeting about Mom’s ‘Wasted’ Time with Kids
4/20/2017 - FiveThirtyEight: Hold Your Horses, Georgia’s Special Election Run-Off can’t Predict 2018 Midterms
3/14/2017 - Nate Silver: Yes, there was a Liberal Media Bubble in 2016 that Underestimated Trump’s Chances
11/8/2016 - Liberal Media Predict a Clinton White House Victory
11/8/2016 - Statistician Nate Silver: Polls that have “Clinton with a 98% Chance of Winning…Doesn’t Pass a Common Sense Test”
10/28/2016 - Poll Buyers Beware: Emerson College Polling has Some Issues
10/5/2016 - Clinton’s VP Tim Kaine Interrupted Trump’s VP Mike Pence over 70 Times during the #VPDebate
9/29/2016 - NBC News Touts Own Post-Debate Poll on Clinton Bounce, but FiveThirtyEight says Be Cautious
9/21/2016 - Black Millennials Aren’t Fans of Hillary Clinton
9/21/2016 - Must-Win States? A Media Fallacy
9/21/2016 - Some US Senate Projections for Election Day
3/15/2016 - Who are Donald Trump’s Supporters?
3/15/2016 - Forget Ohio and Florida; Illinois & Missouri Could Make Trump Unstoppable
3/2/2016 - Tracking the GOP Nomination: What Happens Next
3/2/2016 - Trump Carries the South while Cruz takes Texas & Oklahoma
2/9/2016 - Bernie Sanders Wins New Hampshire Primary on the Democratic Side
2/9/2016 - Donald Trump Wins the New Hampshire Primary for the GOP
10/17/2015 - Cruz-Mentum? Ted Cruz could have a Serious Shot at 2016