As a discussion of the death of Osama Bin Laden with ABC News’ Brian Ross on The View turned political, Joy Behar suggested that we “skip the next election” since this event apparently guarantees that Obama will win re-election next year:
If I were Behar I wouldn’t count my chickens just yet.
In 1991, after the successful launch of Operation Desert Storm, President George H.W. Bush’s approval ratings soared to 89% and he too looked like a shoo-in to win re-election. By the time November 1992 rolled around his approval ratings had sunk to 40% and the country elected Bill Clinton as president.
The big difference now, however, is that there is no clear Republican front-runner, with just 18 months to go before the election. That intra-party struggle within the GOP over the next 16 months, through their 2012 nominating convention in late August, may turn out to be a bigger factor in the 2012 elections than the killing of Bin Laden.