Obama and the ‘Bradley Effect’
By Don | May 16, 2008
Do white voters overstate their support for black candidates to pollsters and will Obama fall victim to what has beed referred to as the "Bradley effect?"
The Bradley effect, which refers to the propensity of white poll respondents to overstate their support for a black candidate, isn’t the only issue that pollsters, statisticians and academics will discuss and dispute. But it may be one of the most consequential since it stands to significantly skew pre-election poll results in an election where it seems increasingly likely that Barack Obama will emerge as the Democratic party’s presidential nominee.
Obama has struggled wiith white rural voters thus far in the primaries which may portend a larger problem in November.
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